Compute NFL Draft Order using Game Results and Divisional Rankings

compute_draft_order(
  teams,
  games,
  h2h = NULL,
  tiebreaker_depth = 3,
  .debug = FALSE
)

Arguments

teams

The division standings data frame including playoff seeds as computed by compute_conference_seeds

games

A data frame containing real or simulated game scores. The following variables are required:

sim

A simulation ID. Normally 1 - n simulated seasons.

game_type

One of 'REG', 'WC', 'DIV', 'CON', 'SB' indicating if a game was a regular season game or one of the playoff rounds.

week

The week of the corresponding NFL season.

away_team

Team abbreviation of the away team (please see divisions for valid team abbreviations).

home_team

Team abbreviation of the home team (please see divisions for valid team abbreviations).

result

Equals home score - away score.

h2h

A data frame that is used for head-to-head tiebreakers across the tie-breaking functions. It is computed by the function compute_division_ranks.

tiebreaker_depth

A single value equal to 1, 2, or 3. The default is 3. The value controls the depth of tiebreakers that shall be applied. The deepest currently implemented tiebreaker is strength of schedule. The following values are valid:

tiebreaker_depth = 1

Break all ties with a coinflip. Fastest variant.

tiebreaker_depth = 2

Apply head-to-head and division win percentage tiebreakers. Random if still tied.

tiebreaker_depth = 3

Apply all tiebreakers through strength of schedule. Random if still tied.

.debug

Either TRUE or FALSE. Controls whether additional messages are printed to the console showing what the tie-breaking algorithms are currently performing.

Value

A data frame of standings including the final draft pick number and the variable exit which indicates the week number of the teams final game (Super Bowl Winner is one week higher).

See also

Examples

# \donttest{ # Change some options for better output old <- options(list(digits = 3, tibble.print_min = 64)) library(dplyr, warn.conflicts = FALSE) games <- nflseedR::load_sharpe_games() %>% dplyr::filter(season %in% 2018:2019) %>% dplyr::select(sim = season, game_type, week, away_team, home_team, result) games %>% nflseedR::compute_division_ranks() %>% nflseedR::compute_conference_seeds(h2h = .$h2h, playoff_seeds = 6) %>% nflseedR::compute_draft_order(games = games, h2h = .$h2h)
#> 2021-04-17 18:35:33: Calculating team data
#> 2021-04-17 18:35:33: Calculating head to head
#> 2021-04-17 18:35:33: Calculating division rank #1
#> 2021-04-17 18:35:34: Calculating division rank #2
#> 2021-04-17 18:35:34: Calculating division rank #3
#> 2021-04-17 18:35:34: Calculating division rank #4
#> 2021-04-17 18:35:34: Calculating seed #1
#> 2021-04-17 18:35:34: Calculating seed #2
#> 2021-04-17 18:35:35: Calculating seed #3
#> 2021-04-17 18:35:35: Calculating seed #4
#> 2021-04-17 18:35:35: Calculating seed #5
#> 2021-04-17 18:35:35: Calculating seed #6
#> 2021-04-17 18:35:36: Calculating draft order #32
#> 2021-04-17 18:35:36: Calculating draft order #31
#> 2021-04-17 18:35:36: Calculating draft order #30
#> 2021-04-17 18:35:36: Calculating draft order #29
#> 2021-04-17 18:35:36: Calculating draft order #28
#> 2021-04-17 18:35:36: Calculating draft order #27
#> 2021-04-17 18:35:36: Calculating draft order #26
#> 2021-04-17 18:35:36: Calculating draft order #25
#> 2021-04-17 18:35:36: Calculating draft order #24
#> 2021-04-17 18:35:36: Calculating draft order #23
#> 2021-04-17 18:35:36: Calculating draft order #22
#> 2021-04-17 18:35:36: Calculating draft order #21
#> 2021-04-17 18:35:36: Calculating draft order #20
#> 2021-04-17 18:35:36: Calculating draft order #19
#> 2021-04-17 18:35:36: Calculating draft order #18
#> 2021-04-17 18:35:36: Calculating draft order #17
#> 2021-04-17 18:35:36: Calculating draft order #16
#> 2021-04-17 18:35:36: Calculating draft order #15
#> 2021-04-17 18:35:36: Calculating draft order #14
#> 2021-04-17 18:35:37: Calculating draft order #13
#> 2021-04-17 18:35:37: Calculating draft order #12
#> 2021-04-17 18:35:37: Calculating draft order #11
#> 2021-04-17 18:35:37: Calculating draft order #10
#> 2021-04-17 18:35:37: Calculating draft order #9
#> 2021-04-17 18:35:37: Calculating draft order #8
#> 2021-04-17 18:35:37: Calculating draft order #7
#> 2021-04-17 18:35:37: Calculating draft order #6
#> 2021-04-17 18:35:37: Calculating draft order #5
#> 2021-04-17 18:35:37: Calculating draft order #4
#> 2021-04-17 18:35:37: Calculating draft order #3
#> 2021-04-17 18:35:37: Calculating draft order #2
#> 2021-04-17 18:35:37: Calculating draft order #1
#> # A tibble: 64 x 16 #> sim team conf division games wins true_wins win_pct div_pct conf_pct #> <int> <chr> <chr> <chr> <int> <dbl> <int> <dbl> <dbl> <dbl> #> 1 2018 BUF AFC AFC East 16 6 6 0.375 0.333 0.333 #> 2 2018 MIA AFC AFC East 16 7 7 0.438 0.667 0.5 #> 3 2018 NE AFC AFC East 16 11 11 0.688 0.833 0.667 #> 4 2018 NYJ AFC AFC East 16 4 4 0.25 0.167 0.25 #> 5 2018 BAL AFC AFC North 16 10 10 0.625 0.5 0.667 #> 6 2018 CIN AFC AFC North 16 6 6 0.375 0.167 0.333 #> 7 2018 CLE AFC AFC North 16 7.5 7 0.469 0.583 0.458 #> 8 2018 PIT AFC AFC North 16 9.5 9 0.594 0.75 0.542 #> 9 2018 HOU AFC AFC South 16 11 11 0.688 0.667 0.75 #> 10 2018 IND AFC AFC South 16 10 10 0.625 0.667 0.583 #> 11 2018 JAX AFC AFC South 16 5 5 0.312 0.167 0.333 #> 12 2018 TEN AFC AFC South 16 9 9 0.562 0.5 0.417 #> 13 2018 DEN AFC AFC West 16 6 6 0.375 0.333 0.333 #> 14 2018 KC AFC AFC West 16 12 12 0.75 0.833 0.833 #> 15 2018 LAC AFC AFC West 16 12 12 0.75 0.667 0.75 #> 16 2018 OAK AFC AFC West 16 4 4 0.25 0.167 0.25 #> 17 2018 DAL NFC NFC East 16 10 10 0.625 0.833 0.75 #> 18 2018 NYG NFC NFC East 16 5 5 0.312 0.167 0.333 #> 19 2018 PHI NFC NFC East 16 9 9 0.562 0.667 0.5 #> 20 2018 WAS NFC NFC East 16 7 7 0.438 0.333 0.5 #> 21 2018 CHI NFC NFC North 16 12 12 0.75 0.833 0.833 #> 22 2018 DET NFC NFC North 16 6 6 0.375 0.333 0.333 #> 23 2018 GB NFC NFC North 16 6.5 6 0.406 0.25 0.292 #> 24 2018 MIN NFC NFC North 16 8.5 8 0.531 0.583 0.542 #> 25 2018 ATL NFC NFC South 16 7 7 0.438 0.667 0.583 #> 26 2018 CAR NFC NFC South 16 7 7 0.438 0.333 0.417 #> 27 2018 NO NFC NFC South 16 13 13 0.812 0.667 0.75 #> 28 2018 TB NFC NFC South 16 5 5 0.312 0.333 0.333 #> 29 2018 ARI NFC NFC West 16 3 3 0.188 0.333 0.25 #> 30 2018 LA NFC NFC West 16 13 13 0.812 1 0.75 #> 31 2018 SEA NFC NFC West 16 10 10 0.625 0.5 0.667 #> 32 2018 SF NFC NFC West 16 4 4 0.25 0.167 0.167 #> 33 2019 BUF AFC AFC East 16 10 10 0.625 0.5 0.583 #> 34 2019 MIA AFC AFC East 16 5 5 0.312 0.333 0.333 #> 35 2019 NE AFC AFC East 16 12 12 0.75 0.833 0.667 #> 36 2019 NYJ AFC AFC East 16 7 7 0.438 0.333 0.333 #> 37 2019 BAL AFC AFC North 16 14 14 0.875 0.833 0.833 #> 38 2019 CIN AFC AFC North 16 2 2 0.125 0.167 0.167 #> 39 2019 CLE AFC AFC North 16 6 6 0.375 0.5 0.5 #> 40 2019 PIT AFC AFC North 16 8 8 0.5 0.5 0.5 #> 41 2019 HOU AFC AFC South 16 10 10 0.625 0.667 0.667 #> 42 2019 IND AFC AFC South 16 7 7 0.438 0.5 0.417 #> 43 2019 JAX AFC AFC South 16 6 6 0.375 0.333 0.5 #> 44 2019 TEN AFC AFC South 16 9 9 0.562 0.5 0.583 #> 45 2019 DEN AFC AFC West 16 7 7 0.438 0.5 0.5 #> 46 2019 KC AFC AFC West 16 12 12 0.75 1 0.75 #> 47 2019 LAC AFC AFC West 16 5 5 0.312 0 0.25 #> 48 2019 OAK AFC AFC West 16 7 7 0.438 0.5 0.417 #> 49 2019 DAL NFC NFC East 16 8 8 0.5 0.833 0.583 #> 50 2019 NYG NFC NFC East 16 4 4 0.25 0.333 0.25 #> 51 2019 PHI NFC NFC East 16 9 9 0.562 0.833 0.583 #> 52 2019 WAS NFC NFC East 16 3 3 0.188 0 0.167 #> 53 2019 CHI NFC NFC North 16 8 8 0.5 0.667 0.583 #> 54 2019 DET NFC NFC North 16 3.5 3 0.219 0 0.208 #> 55 2019 GB NFC NFC North 16 13 13 0.812 1 0.833 #> 56 2019 MIN NFC NFC North 16 10 10 0.625 0.333 0.583 #> 57 2019 ATL NFC NFC South 16 7 7 0.438 0.667 0.5 #> 58 2019 CAR NFC NFC South 16 5 5 0.312 0.167 0.167 #> 59 2019 NO NFC NFC South 16 13 13 0.812 0.833 0.75 #> 60 2019 TB NFC NFC South 16 7 7 0.438 0.333 0.417 #> 61 2019 ARI NFC NFC West 16 5.5 5 0.344 0.167 0.292 #> 62 2019 LA NFC NFC West 16 9 9 0.562 0.5 0.583 #> 63 2019 SEA NFC NFC West 16 11 11 0.688 0.5 0.667 #> 64 2019 SF NFC NFC West 16 13 13 0.812 0.833 0.833 #> # … with 6 more variables: sov <dbl>, sos <dbl>, div_rank <dbl>, seed <dbl>, #> # exit <dbl>, draft_order <dbl>
# Restore old options options(old) # }